TOOLS Of THE STRATEGIC FORESIGHT: USES, ABUSES AND LIMITATIONS

Abstract

The characteristic throughout alI fore 

sight stud _shouk be the collective thought about the future Nothing replaces the human intellect in lbe construction of the future even more sophisticated  computer models. It is essential to assign most ofthe time from that provided to the analysis of variables and actors tha! allowed setting the stage. The informatics tools that come to the tools of kind MICMAC, MACTOR, MORPHOL o SMIC - PROB - EXPERT allow only save time and synthesize all information into one place for easier handling of it. Most of the time should be devoted to identifying the questions, problems and key variables for the future otherwise aH work will be lost once they have entered to software: Garbage in, Garbage out. For a better understanding of french method in the scenarios building, it should be objective starting for explain that what it means the French Scholl ofForesight.

 

 

 

Authors

  • Jean Paul Pinto

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Author Biography


Profesor Universidad de las Américas, Ecuador. Prospectivista
Published
2011-11-08
| 148 |
How to Cite
Pinto, J. (2011). TOOLS Of THE STRATEGIC FORESIGHT: USES, ABUSES AND LIMITATIONS. Cuadernos De Administración, 24(40), 47-56. https://doi.org/10.25100/cdea.v24i40.403
Section
Artículos